Posts Tagged ‘diplmacy’

h1

The rule of law or more shenanigans? Ukraine v Tymoshenko (UESU Case)

February 2, 2013

Here is an interesting little development – if true – and thus far the lack of noise from the opposition about it is noticeable which casts doubts on its authenticity at the time of writing at least.

According to the above link, it seems the Prosecutor General’s Office has dropped the charges, or some of the charges at least, against Yulia Tymoshenko regarding the USEU tax avoidance case it opened against her.

It would be nice to believe that any dropped charges are indeed to do with lack of evidence – and maybe that is just what it is – but I have lived here a long time and am thus quite cynical.

Given recent reports in the media by the wife of Yuri Lutsenko, now an opposition MP herself, it is claimed that the government have reached out to him indirectly offering an immediate pardon.  This he has refused, as it necessarily follows that to be pardoned you have to admit your guilt – which he won’t do as he claims he is not guilty.

Therefore one wonders if a “deal” of some sort has been negotiated with Tymoshenko over the UESU tax avoidance case – particularly so as there is probably not a RADA MP from the past 20 years that has not avoided tax, and such instances may well be able to be proven against a large number of them across the entire political spectrum.

An attempt to put the lid back on Pandora’s Box having foolishly opened it – possibly.

It may just be that the PGO has decided to go for broke with the currently pending murder investigation against her – but there are other cases still pending over Kyoto Protocol accounting and the procurement of new ambulances (with associated presidential campaign slogans attached to said new ambulances for good measure) – to name but two more pending investigations.

Could it be that EU political and diplomatic pressure on Ukraine is paying dividends and thus the out-reaching to Lutsenko and a deal with Tymoshenko over current sentencing for the former and on-going investigations with another? – Unfortunately that possibility, similar to the possibility that the rule of law is simply being followed when dropping some charges, does not seem too realistic when talking about the Ukrainian elite – despite what may subsequently be claimed by any parties involved.

Has Lazarenko done a “deal” of some sort with the authorities in which his former nefarious UESU deeds with Tymoshenko will be forgotten should he give evidence against Tymoshenko in the murder case?

If the TVi link turns out to be genuine, it raises more questions than answers considering the murky world of Ukrainian political and business shenanigans.

Again though, I will refer you to paragraph one of this post – as I have doubts over any such charges being dropped completely – what is more likely is that it will be shoe-horned into the murder case somehow.

h1

United Opposition adds another party to its cause

June 26, 2012

Whether or not you agree with the changes to the electoral laws that passed through the RADA at the end of last year, you will recall that both the current ruling PoR party and the biggest opposition party, BYuT, voted for the changes.  As I wrote at the time, it was the death of the small parties.

And so it comes to pass that the Civil Position Party, headed by a very capable Anatoliy Hrytsenko, has been forced to join the United Opposition coalition, recognising that failing to do so will lead to political oblivion because the CPP is unlikely to gain the required 5% or more threshold of national votes under the new laws.

A scenario no doubt envisaged when the BYuT voted the new laws through with their arch rivals PoR.  Indeed, for the BYuT, which calls itself the leaders of the “democratic forces”, the forced partnerships the bill they voted for will create is somewhat less than democratic and will eventually lead to borg-like assimilation of the smaller parties in the years ahead, ultimately reducing voter choice.

It is quite clear from Hrytsenko’s statements on Kanal 5, that joining the “United Opposition” was not something he or his party wanted to do, but with only 1 million or so dependable voters and small financial backing, the survival of the party came first.  That said he remained highly critical of the “United Opposition” (and ruling PoR naturally).

Once again, the “United Opposition”, just as when they were in power only a few years ago, seems to be forming from  a coalition of pressed men rather than volunteers.  As the saying rightly goes, 1 volunteer is better than 10 pressed men, and the last time the pressed men of the now opposition ran the country, there was nothing but in-fighting and political stagnancy.

Even if the “United Opposition” manage to hold themselves together long enough to get through the elections, should they win,  one wonders just how long these pressed men can stay together before the internal fault lines reappear and this coalition falls apart – again.

Pressed men have a tendency to resent their situation and occasionally mutiny.  Don’t be surprised to see this happen sooner or later amongst this begrudging coalition.

%d bloggers like this: