Archive for January 1st, 2014

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Questions for 2014 at the end of 2013 – Ukraine

January 1, 2014

Probably the most important thing I will write in 2013 – Many thanks to the 100,000+ unique readers of the blogs this year.

Truly humbling that so many people take the time to read something I have written – no matter how badly constructed entries can be.

I hope you all visit again in 2014.

As 2014 is but hours away in Ukraine amongst numerous questions large and small about what it will bring, these to me, remain the most prominent.

Firstly, will Євромайдан find a leader that it can rally around in its entirety, and sustain its momentum?  Whether you consider Messrs. Klitschko, Yatseniuk and Tyahnybok the three wise men, or Curly, Larry and Moe – none truly represent the many Євромайдан and their supporters around Ukraine.  Can and will Євромайдан produce a leader with genuine legitimacy to all?

Second, with Ukrainian domestic and foreign policy in something of a mess, and an obvious loss of control by the President.  Will he regain control of policy, the elite, his party and the nation?

Third, with EU policy in both Eastern and Southern neighbourhoods having achieved no solid and irreversible results in 2013 – is it likely during a period of European Parliament elections and then European Commission position bartering, that a more coherent and effective neighbourhood policy will be forthcoming in 2014?  How best to make EU soft power have a harder edge when EU policy is threatened by other geopolitical actors?  How can it be made more effective and nimble?

Forth, with demand for democracy at almost 90% but the EU Association Agreement at 43% – will democracy be acknowledged by all actors as the goal of society rather than any agreements?

Last but not least, will civil society and NGOs eventually fulfill the roles they are supposed to do now the spotlight is firmly upon them in Ukraine?  If there was ever a time when grass roots activism is going to grow, it is between now and the 2015 elections.  Can it become what it is meant to be?

2014

And with that, I wish each and every one of you a very happy, healthy, prosperous 2014.

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