Posts Tagged ‘trade’

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Ukrainian EU perceptions

May 6, 2013

Nicely timed for my return to the blog after a week off, Eurobarometer has just released some survey results relating to the extent to which Ukrainians would like further EU involvement in Ukrainian affairs.

76% would like greater EU involvement in economic development.

69% would like greater trade with the EU.

64% would like greater EU involvement in human rights within Ukraine.

60% would like greater EU involvement in democracy in Ukraine.

Seemingly 53% of Ukrainians trust the EU more than NATO or the UN when it comes to external entities, and far more than the current Ukrainian government which has a 23% favourable rating, or the parliament and Ukrainian political parties with an 18% favourable rating each.

The full survey results can be found here – with my usual caveats relating to surveys and opinion polls naturally applying as they always do.

Nevertheless, caveats considered, some interesting indicators are apparent in this snap-shot of public opinion to ponder over during the next few days.

 

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Is working in Ukraine as a foreigner about to get easier?

April 24, 2013

As it is my umteenth anniversary today, and thus via the “ball and chain” and the goodwill of Ukraine, I have permanent residency here, this entry really does not affect me in any way.

In fact it doesn’t affect anybody I know either.

It will undoubtedly affect some readers however – both currently and in the future.

It seems that the State Employment Centre has made assurances that the current (and no doubt overly bureaucratic) systems for granting work permits and temporary resident status (for the purposes of work) are going to be simplified – requiring far less documentation than currently is required – especially so as far as renewals/extensions are concerned, and which will subsequently be gratis if granted for those who have navigated the bureaucratic circus before.

They also state that consideration is being given to raise the duration of such permits from 1 year to 3 years.

A particularly good idea should the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement and DCFTA actually be signed – as not only will foreign confidence increase (to a greater or lesser degree) relating to entering the Ukrainian market at an SME/entrepreneurial level, those who want to do so, may actually stand a reasonable chance of navigating the bureaucratic hurdles that prevent so many currently.

It is necessary of course, to see just how the bureaucracy will be reduced – if at all – and I suspect not at all, other than the more expedited time line requirement for the bureaucracy to function and process applications.

Which documents will be subsequently scrapped from the current list will be far more interesting, as currently some of the documentation required is the barrier to entry – rather than the business environment itself!

Best guess thus far is here.

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Enhancing public support for the EU-Ukrainian Association Agreement – FCO Report

April 19, 2013

Today I have very little to say, as I want to draw attention to the work of chaps at the Foreign & Commonwealth Office together with HM Embassy Kyiv under the imaginatively titled “A blueprint for enhancing understanding of and support for the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement including DCFTA in Ukraine

It is also available in Ukrainian - Угода про асоціацію ЄС – Україна: дослідження обізнаності цільових груп та стратегія комунікаційної кампанії - a title just as lengthy as in English!

It is a very interesting read that will go a long way to questioning the predispositions of some relating to the Ukrainian public desire to head West (or East).

I could go on and on but I won’t – have a read, it will be worth it.

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EU/Ukraine Mission DCFTA Workshop – 10th April 2013

April 7, 2013

For those of you who happen to be in Brussels on Wednesday 10th April, the Ukrainian Mission to the EU is holding a DCFTA workshop for business at the Press Club Brussels, 95 Rue Froissart, 1040 from 1500 – 1630.

Key speakers are the two main negotiators of the DCFTA Messrs V Piatnytskyi and P Cuisson.

Some may consider this somewhat hopeful given there are doubts the AA and DCFTA will be signed in Vilnius in November – however with the impending seemingly immediate release of Yuri Lutsenko, perhaps not.  His release will go a long way towards the “substantial progress” the EU has demanded over the issue of “selective justice”.  Possibly just far enough, as nobody really expects Tymoshenko to be released prior to 2016 and equally nobody expects much in the way of ratification before that date either due to German, French and EU parliamentary elections in 2013, 2014 and then Ukrainian presidential elections in 2015.

Who knows?  As is so often the case in Ukraine, it just manages to do enough by the eleventh hour – by hook or by crook – be it delivering a good Euro 2012 tournament on an international scale, or the tradesmen finishing and leaving a new shopping centre two hours before it is due to open domestically.

Whether the same time and effort will be spend within Ukraine making the same explanations to business and entrepreneurs  remains to be seen.  Perhaps it is felt better to leave that until any signing actually happens?  That said, signed or not signed, I fully anticipate mutually beneficial parts of the DCFTA to be implemented anyway – as is always the case with what is considered politically expedient to all concerned.  After all the framework is already agreed and initialed, sealing the framework.

I have to say, that despite my invitation to this event, I will not be traveling to Brussels for the sake of a 90 minute workshop – particularly one that is more focused towards the Europeans looking at the opportunities the DCFTA offers in Ukraine, rather than one aimed at Ukrainians and the opportunities it offers looking west.

If a traveling roadshow passes through Odessa attempting to educate on the specifics of the DCFTA and opportunities it offers Ukrainians looking west – then I will surely attend – just to let you know what was said!

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Italy to open Consulate in Odessa soon

April 2, 2013

A very short and sweet entry today.

Yet another diplomatic mission will soon open in Odessa – this time Italian - which will please the good woman if it has the ability to produce Visas, as Italy is a nation that particularly attracts her for reasons of history, architecture, food and of course fashion.

Very good.  That makes half a dozen Consulates opened in Odessa in as many years and leaves Odessa housing close to 20 diplomatic missions.

Naturally the UK isn’t one of them – not even an Honorary Consul, despite an ever growing and vibrant local diplomatic community – but I have come to expect nothing less.

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Shell (companies), Ukraine, hydrocarbons and the limits of Ukrainian journalism (not to mention a willfully blind EU eye)?

March 27, 2013

The day after the EU met with Edward Stavysky, the current Ukrainian Energy Minister, a meeting that will bring about a high level round table over EU sponsorship over the upgrading of the Ukrainian gas transport system (GTS) amongst other things – I am left pondering many things.

There has been a bad smell over the inclusion of a company called GEO Service arbitrarily in Ukrainian government deals with major oil and gas explorers and producers.  The reason for the bad smell becomes a little clearer with this piece in the Ukraine Pravda – but it no surprise.  It is no surprise that the oil majors are going along with it either.  Big oil (and gas) is a very murky business no matter who is involved.  This for them is standard practice no doubt.

However, it does not stop at Geoservice and the inferences made within that article – possibly more so when mentioning the current Ukrainian Energy Minister.

Unfortunately Ukraine Pravda does not go further than to elaborate on what it was spoon fed/given to build a story around – and investigative journalism in Ukraine is not particularly the safest of jobs.

However, if there was a Ukrainian investigative journalist at a loose end, they may not go far wrong in looking at the Energy Minister himself and other seemingly “no value” or “strange” business entities somehow involved in hydrocarbons in Ukraine – other than the infamous Geoservices which seems to concentrate media attention.

If they were to need a few dots to join together, some interesting dots amongst the vast mosaic of opaque vested interests could be a dot/company called “Vodi Ukraine”.  Another dot would necessarily be Nadra Ukraine.  Perhaps those dots could be joined together?

The Vodi Ukraine  (which means Water Ukraine)  misnomer should not put off our investigative journalists.  Vodi Ukraine may have more to do with hydrocarbons than water perhaps?

Maybe if these dots do connect, they should look to the dots relating to shale gas exploration in western Ukraine and who holds the exploration licenses.  The oil majors who are going to explore there know already – it shouldn’t be too difficult to find out – officially or via leaks.

Naturally if all those dots can be connected – that leaves the dot that is the current Energy Minister, Eduard Stavysky.

Now he is not the dot behind Nadra Ukraine.   He is not the dot behind the oil majors exploring shale in western Ukraine.  So how does his dot connect if indeed it does?

As Vodi Ukraine adds no value to the chain but somehow managed to get the exploration licenses in western Ukraine and is therefore within the chain for no apparent reason that to siphon/make a profit from actually doing nothing of value – one might ask, perhaps, who is the dot behind the Vodi Ukraine dot?  Our ministerial dot perhaps?

As I say, I am no investigative journalist, and far be it from me to make categorical statements when lacking the type of evidence produced in the Ukraine Pravda link above, that there would be a story there waiting to be broken – but I was always very good at dot to dot as a child and never once messed up the picture.

Now if all those dots did make a pretty (but nefarious) picture just as the Geoservice dots do, given the open door policy to Ministers the oil and gas majors have, then the EU must have a completed dot to dot picture – and thus must be willfully turning a blind eye – even if for the greater good as they may see it.

Anyway, what chance that an investigative journalist would join all the dots I mention eh?

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Sold – Odessa Oil Refinery (A crude and murky business)

March 12, 2013

Back in October 2011, I mentioned that the LukOil terminal in Odessa had just been put up for sale.

It has now sold.  At least it is sold subject to contract exchange.

The new owners are an umbrella company called VETEK LLC based in Kyiv.  VETEK was registered as a company in Kyiv on 28th February 2013 and is headed by a chap named Andrey Koshel.

VETEK LLC, appears to be a holding/umbrella company for Gaz Ukraine – fronted by Serhiy Kurchenko, the Kharkiv lawyer, owner of Metalist Kharkiv FC, and friend of Olexander Yanukovych, son of the current president of Ukraine.

If that seems simple, Gas Ukraine is indeed a holding/umbrella company for a number of companies and has its head office in Simferopol Crimea, and who owns what behind the front of Serhiy Kurchenko is far more difficult to determine.  Gas Ukraine, naturally, is an importer of gas, LNG, oil and owns a rapidly expanding empire of several hundred petrol stations dotted around the country.

It also appears that Odessa refinery was not the first choice acquisition for VETEK/Gaz Ukraine – It originally went after the Lysychansk refinery owned by TNK/BP who subsequently removed it from sale due to it being an asset it could charge Rosneft for during its take over.

Anyway, the net result is that whomever is behind VETEK LLC and Andrey Koshel – or should we say whomever is behind Serhiy Kurchenko who fronts Gaz Ukraine, now own the Odessa refinery – which has not operated since 2010.

In fact the only Ukrainian refinery to operate in the past 3 years has been Ukrtatnefta – who I mentioned exactly one month ago - embroiled in nefarious circumstances - naturally.

So, it will be interesting to see whether the new owners of the Odessa refinery will make it the second of the six existing oil terminals to be operating in Ukraine, or whether Ukrtatneft will be allowed to continue as the only refinery in the nation to be active.

Smelly? – Maybe it’s just the gas!

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Tajikistan joins WTO effective 2nd March

March 3, 2013

Well congratulations to Tajikistan on successfully joining the WTO  - full membership taking effect yesterday, 2nd March.

Having applied back in May 2001, Tajikistan  has joined in little over a decade – which is quite timely for a FSU nation – all things considered – particularly so if one is in no rush whilst waiting for Russia to be bound by membership rules before joining a few international clubs in which Russia sits, yourself.

Next stop, undoubtedly will be joining the Customs Union with fairly immediate effect – followed by the Eurasian Union if it is up and running in a practical sense by 2015 – which as matters progress, looks likely.

A small but interesting regional development.

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